Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 940
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 940 · SDF → MCO
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.