WN 952 · BWI → BOS

departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 6:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 952 · BWI → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?