Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 954 LANDED 1:29 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 954 · BWI → BDL

took off 12:45 AM ET · landed 1:29 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from BWI are often late

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

BDL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 954 · BWI → BDL

Odds over time