Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 967
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 967 · AUS → BWI
departs 5:25 AM CT · arrives 9:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 3%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 3%
Wed 10/7 3%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from AUS are usually not late
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.