Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 973
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 973 · BNA → ECP
departs 7:55 AM CT · arrives 9:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.2 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BNA that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.21 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.