Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3437
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
YX 3437 · EWR → DFW
departs 1:03 PM ET · arrives 4:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±6 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.