Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3529 LANDED 7:30 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

YX 3529 · YOW → EWR

took off 6:23 AM EDT · landed 7:30 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ YOW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

YOW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3529 · YOW → EWR

Odds over time