tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3534 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 3534 · IND → ORD

departs 10:45 AM ET · arrives 11:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 4.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.