Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3592 LANDED 11:09 AM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

YX 3592 · ORD → CMH

took off 9:24 AM CT · landed 11:09 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3592 · ORD → CMH

Odds over time