Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3606
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
YX 3606 · EWR → GSP
departs 9:20 PM ET · arrives 11:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at GSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSP?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at GSP that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
GSP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.