tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3690 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

YX 3690 · ORD → EYW

departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 3:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EYW?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.