YX 3701 · EWR → CLE

took off 2:33 PM ET · expected to land 3:37 PM ET (scheduled 2:18 PM ET → 4:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CLE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3701 · EWR → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?