tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4413 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YX 4413 · BUF → ORD

departs 10:07 AM ET · arrives 11:09 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 4.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.