tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YX 4469 · ORD → STL

departs 12:32 PM CT · arrives 2:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.6d 2d 1d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to STL?

  1. On time or early
    91%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.