YX 4488 · LGA → BGR

took off 11:11 AM ET · expected to land 12:02 PM ET (scheduled 10:50 AM ET → 12:34 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BGR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into BGR at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BGR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4488 · LGA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?