Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4755
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
YX 4755 · HHH → BOS
departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 5:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HHH
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
HHH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HHH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.