YX 5597 · BOS → JAX

took off 9:35 AM ET · landed 12:03 PM ET (scheduled 9:30 AM ET → 12:29 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip3.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5597 · BOS → JAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAX?