Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5608
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
YX 5608 · DTW → EWR
departs 2:10 PM ET · arrives 3:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.