Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5765
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
YX 5765 · JFK → BOS
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:26 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 3%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.