YX 5789 · CVG → BOS

departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 8:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from CVG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5789 · CVG → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?