YX 5797 · LGA → BUF

took off 11:53 AM ET · landed 12:44 PM ET (scheduled 11:51 AM ET → 1:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BUF (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5797 · LGA → BUF

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUF?