YX 5810 · DTW → CMH

took off 10:43 AM ET · landed 11:19 AM ET (scheduled 10:09 AM ET → 11:20 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DTW are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5810 · DTW → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?