Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1041SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1041 · PHL → ORD
departs 10:35 AM ET · arrives 12:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.