AA 1088 · RDU → DFW

departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from RDU are usually not late

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.50 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1088 · RDU → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?