Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1132 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1132 · DFW → IAD

departs 6:44 PM CT · arrives 10:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

IAD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1132 · DFW → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?