AA 1135 · FLL → LGA

departs 12:11 PM ET · arrives 3:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1135 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?