AA 1181 · DFW → BNA

departs 2:16 PM CT · arrives 4:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1181 · DFW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?