Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1282SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1282 · EWR → PHX
departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 9:28 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.