Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1386 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 1386 · ATL → DFW

departs 3:02 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1386 · ATL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?