Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1413 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1413 · AUS → DFW

departs 11:37 AM CT · arrives 12:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1413 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?