Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1413 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1413 · DFW → AUS

departs 9:40 AM CT · arrives 10:42 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.08 in

AUS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1413 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?