Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1445 LANDED 1:08 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 1445 · DFW → STL

took off 11:58 PM CT · landed 1:08 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1445 · DFW → STL

Odds over time