Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1451
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
AA 1451 · LAX → PHL
departs 6:05 AM PT · arrives 2:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to PHL?
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On time or early
88%
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15–30 min late
3%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.