Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1456SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1456 · PHX → BFL
departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 9:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
39%chance · ±2 pts+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to BFL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.