AA 1482 · DFW → LAS

departs 10:33 AM CT · arrives 11:23 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

LAS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1482 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?