AA 1487 · DFW → SEA

departs 10:41 PM CT · arrives 12:57 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1487 · DFW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?