tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1515 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1515 · BNA → DFW

departs 8:01 AM CT · arrives 10:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.