tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1617 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1617 · BUR → DFW

departs 12:57 PM PT · arrives 6:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.