Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 161 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:17 AM EEST, ETA 2:11 PM CT)
Today

AA 161 · ATH → ORD

took off 11:17 AM EEST · expected to land 2:11 PM CT (scheduled 10:46 AM EEST → 2:15 PM CT)
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    59%
  2. 15–30 min late
    37%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.