tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1640 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:04 PM CT, ETA 3:13 PM MT)
Today

AA 1640 · ORD → PHX

took off 2:04 PM CT · expected to land 3:13 PM MT (scheduled 1:51 PM CT → 3:43 PM MT)
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.