Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1700 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:07 AM CT, ETA 8:58 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 1700 · XNA → DFW

took off 8:07 AM CT · expected to land 8:58 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1700 · XNA → DFW

Odds over time