Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1710 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1710 · DFW → CVG

departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 1:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.08 in

CVG (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1710 · DFW → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?