AA 1719 · YVR → LAX

departs 1:57 PM PDT · arrives 5:02 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1719 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?