Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1751 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:56 AM ET, ETA 9:03 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 1751 · PHL → DFW

took off 6:56 AM ET · expected to land 9:03 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.08 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1751 · PHL → DFW

Odds over time