Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1762 LANDED 8:10 AM CT, ~21 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 1762 · ATL → ORD

took off 7:38 AM ET · landed 8:10 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.51 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1762 · ATL → ORD

Odds over time