Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1774 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 1774 · DFW → BZN

departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 8:39 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

BZN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1774 · DFW → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?