Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1861
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 1861 · ORD → SAN
departs 7:08 PM CT · arrives 9:49 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±0 pts
+36 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
32%
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15–30 min late
47%
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30 min–1 hour late
0%
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1–2 hours late
17%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.