AA 1915 · RIC → DFW

departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 5:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.30 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1915 · RIC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?