Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1920 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:16 AM CT, ETA 10:03 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 1920 · ORD → SNA

took off 8:16 AM CT · expected to land 10:03 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1920 · ORD → SNA

Odds over time