Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1972 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1972 · DFW → LAX

departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 6:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1972 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?